Kendall, we’re two days out, and I wanted to send you a quick field guide for the next few days.
This race continues to be extremely close. I know that can cause some anxiety. But let me just say again: We are going to win. It’s just going to take every single one of us to do it.
What We’re Seeing On the Ground
We feel very, very good about where we are. More people — and more diverse people — are voting than ever before. We are currently on pace to turn out the voters we need to get to 50%+1 in each battleground state.
We continue to have a few paths to victory: By winning the Blue Wall (Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania), by winning the Sun Belt (Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina), or by winning a combination of the two. We are seeing what we need to see to pull at least one of those paths off.
Volunteers knocking on doors, making calls, and making sure voters have what they need to head to the polls are making a difference in this race. So much so that undecided voters in the last week are breaking for the Vice President by double-digit margins.
We know that, among the remaining pool of undecided voters, more are open to voting for the Vice President than for Trump. Our team on the ground is kicking ass reaching those voters and we have to keep it up in the days to come.
What to Expect on Election Night
Every state counts votes differently. Some wait until polls close, some start counting as soon as voters submit their ballot. That means that returns are going to come in for different states at different times. This is roughly what we expect to see:
It will take a long time to count every single vote, and we can’t place too much stock in the early returns. The tally in certain states is going to change a lot as additional ballots are counted. For example, some states that count absentee ballots first may start off blue and shift to red as time goes on. Those would be your Michigans and Pennsylvanias.
On the other hand, there are states like North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada where we may see Republicans leading from the beginning and then those states may shift to blue as urban areas come in and more late early vote and vote-by-mail is counted.
We may not know the results of this election for several days. But we must stay calm and confident during that period of time. We all have a role to play to ensure that our friends, family, and neighbors trust our electoral process.
What About Trump?
Look, Donald Trump is probably going to come out early on Election Night and claim victory despite the facts — just like he did in 2020. We can count on him spinning a web of misinformation about the way this election was held and challenging the results when he loses again. It will have no impact whatsoever on the outcome of this race. Tune it out.
The truth is this: Our elections are among the most transparent government processes and our systems will hold. The non-partisan decision desks at media outlets that are watching this race closely are not going to be swayed by what Donald Trump says. And we should not be either.
Rest assured that if Trump and his friends try to claim they won this election and throw their bag of tricks at us, we are prepared. We have some of the best lawyers on our team and they are ready to go to court to ensure that every vote is counted.
How You Can Help
If that all makes you anxious, that is okay! Join the club. But let me tell you this: How you take action now will really matter come Election Night.
How many doors we knock, how many phone calls we make, or how many of our neighbors we get to the polls in the coming days could determine the outcome of this election.
Our team will give you all the training you’ll need, plus you’ll meet fellow volunteers and have meaningful conversations with the voters who will decide this election.
Keep up the hard work — and let’s win this!
Jen
Jen O’Malley Dillon
Campaign Chair, Harris for President
We sincerely thank you for your help and support.